A Private Equity Blog

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What happens to EV when you issue more equity?

I received the following question from a reader and wanted to share my answer for a couple of reasons: 1) to make sure I’m giving him the right advice, and b) it seems like a very simple question, but it’s actually a little complex. This second point is the reason I started this journal, because it’s rare that things are as they seem in private equity.

The Question: There is a company with 100 outstanding shares and the market price of each share is $10. Now, if the company issues 10 shares through a private placement at price of say $12. Everything else (i.e. debt, cash etc.) remains same. What will happen to Enterprise Value? Will it increase or decrease? Why? How will EV be affected if the private placement is done at discount to current share price (i.e at $8)?

An Answer:

EV is generally used as a proxy for market value. So it really depends if the issue of shares is adding to the market value of the business. At one extreme, if you issue the shares and set fire to the cash you just raised, then EV will stay the same and your individual shares will just be worth less. At the other extreme, if you buy a distressed competitor for $1, and synergies mean you double the value of your business, then EV will roughly double, meaning your shares will increase in price.

So the important distinction is that we tend to work backwards with the EV equation. That is, we work out EV (often using a multiple of cash flow or earnings), then we subtract net debt to find the equity value. This makes it a “market” valuation. We generally don’t add up the book value or par value of shares and add the book value of debt, because that would be a “book” value and not necessarily represent what people will pay in the market.

So, let’s work through some numbers.

  1. If the equity is issued for no reason, just to increase cash for a rainy day, then there is no affect on enterprise value (EV). Theoretically, equity increases, but so does cash, which offsets debt to give net debt. Intuitively, if you sell the business the day after raising the money, the cash is just used to pay back the people that just funded the new issue. Practically, it could be a little different. If you raised money at a premium, the new shareholders will get less back as the new cash is shared between everyone (either by paying down debt or via a capital return). The opposite happens if you issue at a discount.
  2. If the equity is issued to invest in the business, then the affect on EV depends on the profitability of the investment. Remember, we’re working with market value. If the “market” values the investment at cost, then it cancels out. If they value the investment at zero, the EV stays the same, the equity value stays the same, but you have more share, so the per share price drops. If they value it above cost, then the opposite happens.

Does this sound right to everyone? Any comments?

  • Bharat
    Hi,

    Need a clarification. You said that equity issued purely to pile up cash will have no implicition on EV. Assuming that we use Discounted cash flow to calculate EV, wouldnt the Weighted Avergage Cost of capital change? Hence shouldnt the EV change?
  • Hey Bharat, thanks for the note.

    There are two different methodologies here, which we shouldn't mix up. EV (as a multiple of earnings for M&A purposes) and DCF. In theory, they should lead to the same value. But in practice, they rarely do. Not because either is technically wrong, but because one is focused on price and the other on value. EV estimates what someone WOULD pay and DCF estimates what someone SHOULD pay.

    It's just like the stock markets. You can create the most advanced and technically correct valuation methodology, but if the market uses PE ratios to make their investment decisions, your methodology will never be accurate in practice (unless of course it accounts for behavioural factors).

    So, technically, you're right. Cash has a cost and should be valued accordingly. But in the case of EV, we're talking about what a business is worth today if sold. In the assumed transaction, the cash would either offset the sale price or be paid out. So it doesn't spend any time accruing interest in the assumptions made for EV.

    Hopefully that makes sense.
  • Another useful post! Two comments:

    + In my conversations with other members of the finance community, I've noticed a lot of confusion between definitions for Total Enterprise Value and Enterprise Value. In theory, there shouldn't be a difference, and 'EV' more generally should represent the total amount of comparable capital at play (so total debt/cash being used to fund the business + the market value of the equity used to fund the business). However, if you've come across these two terms, it would be useful to hear your thoughts on the distinction?

    + You are absolutely right to suggest that in private equity, EVs are generally used to work back from say a traded comparable to a private investment. As such, it is therefore used to assess equity value, rather than the opposite. Nonetheless, a private placement at $12 (or $8) per share means a new transaction, and shifts us into the land of 'implied EV' - that is to say, the market value of all shares (not just the newly issued ones) will have changed to $12 from $10. If net debt/share was $5, then we could say that the implied EV has grown from $15 to $17/per share e.g. implied EV has increased?
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